# IPL Prediction 2027: What 19 Seasons of Results Tell You Source: https://cricketin.org/en/predictions/ipl [By Karthik Iyengar](/en/authors/data-editor), Data Editor. [Reviewed by Anjali Deshmukh](/en/authors/cricket-analyst), Cricket Analyst. Updated 11 Nov 2026. Editorial policy: https://cricketin.org/en/editorial-policy 18+. Betting carries financial risk and can become addictive. Free helpline Tele-MANAS: 14416. --- IPL prediction 2027 from the record: 16 of 19 champions finished top two, only 3 defended the title and home sides won 46.5% since 2023. No guesswork. No one knows who will win IPL 2027, or any match in it, and this IPL prediction page doesn't guess. What 19 seasons of results do show: 16 of 19 champions finished first or second in the league, the table-topper won the title 7 times, and only three champions have defended it, Chennai Super Kings in 2011, Mumbai Indians in 2020 and Royal Challengers Bengaluru in 2026. At match level the edges are small. Home sides have won 46.5% of their home games since 2023, and the side higher in the table at the time won 51.1% of league matches from 2022 to 2026. Below: the title, the caps and single matches, with the numbers for each. ## Where IPL 2027 stands right now The season itself has no dates yet. All 10 teams must name their retained and released players by 17 November 2026, and the mini-auction follows in Goa on 16 December, the last auction of the current cycle. A squad holds 18 to 25 players, with no more than eight from overseas. That order matters for any title view. Until the auction is done, nobody knows the full squads, so a firm IPL 2027 prediction made today rests on half the information. Dates and confirmed trades are tracked on our [season hub](/en/leagues/ipl). ## Who wins the IPL: the base rates Eight clubs have won the title in 19 seasons. Chennai Super Kings and Mumbai Indians lead with five each, and five different clubs shared the ten titles from 2017 to 2026. **Table 1. IPL titles by club, 2008 to 2026** | Club | Titles | Seasons | |---|---|---| | Chennai Super Kings | 5 | 2010, 2011, 2018, 2021, 2023 | | Mumbai Indians | 5 | 2013, 2015, 2017, 2019, 2020 | | Kolkata Knight Riders | 3 | 2012, 2014, 2024 | | Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 2 | 2025, 2026 | | Rajasthan Royals | 1 | 2008 | | Deccan Chargers | 1 | 2009 | | Sunrisers Hyderabad | 1 | 2016 | | Gujarat Titans | 1 | 2022 | League position is the strongest base rate the IPL has. Only the top four reach the play-offs, and no champion has come from lower than fourth. **Table 2. Where each IPL champion finished in the league, 2008 to 2026** | League position | Champions | Seasons | |---|---|---| | 1st | 7 | 2008, 2017, 2019, 2020, 2022, 2024, 2026 | | 2nd | 9 | 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2018, 2021, 2023, 2025 | | 3rd | 2 | 2010, 2016 | | 4th | 1 | 2009 | Defending the title is rare: three times in 18 attempts. Royal Challengers Bengaluru go into 2027 as the first side since Mumbai Indians in 2020 to have done it. Every final with its margin is on our list of [past champions](/en/leagues/ipl/winners). ## Orange Cap and Purple Cap: a separate question The season's top run-scorer and top wicket-taker are questions of their own, and they rarely line up with the title. The Orange Cap holder's team won the IPL only twice in 19 seasons: Kolkata in 2014 with Robin Uthappa and Chennai in 2021 with Ruturaj Gaikwad. The Purple Cap holder's team did it three times, in 2008, 2009 and 2016. **Table 3. Orange Cap and Purple Cap winners, 2022 to 2026. Data: Cricsheet** | Season | Orange Cap | Runs | Purple Cap | Wickets | |---|---|---|---|---| | 2022 | Jos Buttler | 863 | Yuzvendra Chahal | 27 | | 2023 | Shubman Gill | 890 | Mohammed Shami | 28 | | 2024 | Virat Kohli | 741 | Harshal Patel | 24 | | 2025 | Sai Sudharsan | 759 | Prasidh Krishna | 25 | | 2026 | Vaibhav Suryavanshi | 776 | Kagiso Rabada | 29 | Winning tallies have ranged from 562 to 973 runs across 19 seasons. A batter needs a full season of innings to get there, so a settled place in the top order matters as much as form. The season-by-season list is on our [top run-scorers](/en/leagues/ipl/orange-cap) page. ## IPL match prediction: what moves a single game For a single match, the record gives small, honest edges and no certainties. Table 4 lists the main ones. **Table 4. Signals for a single IPL match and how often they held. Data: Cricsheet** | Signal | Period | Matches | Held | |---|---|---|---| | Toss winner won the match | 2008–2026 | 1,218 | 51.6% | | Toss winner chose to field and won | 2008–2026 | 810 | 54.7% | | Side batting second won | 2023 season | 73 | 45.2% | | Side batting second won | 2026 season | 73 | 61.6% | | Home side won | 2023–2026 | 258 | 46.5% | | Side higher in the table won | 2022–2026 | 174 | 51.1% | | Side in better form (last five) won | 2011–2026 | 776 | 52.6% | The swing between 2023 and 2026 is the lesson. Chasing sides went from 45.2% to 61.6% in three seasons, so a rule taken from one season is a weak base for the next. The toss decision is still worth reading, and our [toss study](/en/compare/ipl-toss-bat-or-bowl-first) shows how it played out ground by ground. Scores have moved too. In 2026, 38 of 74 first innings reached 200, against 13 in 2022, so any par score from before 2023 now sits too low. ## Home grounds since 2023, team by team The fall in home results isn't spread evenly. Gujarat Titans have won 17 of 30 home matches since 2023, while Punjab Kings have won 8 of 27 across their home grounds. **Table 5. Home record of each IPL team in its home city, 2023 to 2026. Data: Cricsheet** | Team | Home city | Won | Decided | Win rate | |---|---|---|---|---| | Gujarat Titans | Ahmedabad | 17 | 30 | 56.7% | | Royal Challengers Bengaluru | Bengaluru | 13 | 24 | 54.2% | | Chennai Super Kings | Chennai | 15 | 28 | 53.6% | | Mumbai Indians | Mumbai | 15 | 28 | 53.6% | | Sunrisers Hyderabad | Hyderabad | 13 | 25 | 52.0% | | Kolkata Knight Riders | Kolkata | 12 | 26 | 46.2% | | Lucknow Super Giants | Lucknow | 11 | 27 | 40.7% | | Delhi Capitals | Delhi | 9 | 24 | 37.5% | | Rajasthan Royals | Jaipur | 7 | 19 | 36.8% | | Punjab Kings | Mohali, New Chandigarh, Dharamsala | 8 | 27 | 29.6% | | All ten | | 120 | 258 | 46.5% | Rajasthan Royals' games in Guwahati aren't counted as home games here, because the city isn't their base. Chepauk shows why a ground's character and its home team's record are separate questions: it has the lowest first-innings average of the ten since 2022, 172.7, yet chasing sides won 19 of 31 there. The full picture is in the [Chepauk](/en/stadiums/ma-chidambaram-stadium) pitch report. ## Today's IPL match prediction during the season Once the fixtures are out, each match gets a page two to three days before the start, with the head-to-head, each side's last five results, the venue record and a link to the pitch report. The day's fixture always sits on the [IPL today](/en/leagues/ipl/today) page, which moves on by itself after the last ball. Those pages carry no win percentage. The model we tested couldn't beat a coin toss adjusted for home advantage, and our [cricket prediction](/en/predictions) page shows the full test. ## IPL betting tips that survive the numbers - Price the title against the base rate first: ten teams means 10% each before any squad news, and 16 of 19 champions came from the top two. - Don't pay extra for a big name in the Orange Cap market: the holder's team has won the title only twice in 19 seasons. - Recheck par scores: the 2026 first innings averaged 196.4 over full 20-over matches, up from 171.1 in 2022. - Read every price as a chance. Our IPL odds page explains how match, title and cap prices are built. Betting is for adults 18 and over. Set your limit before the season starts, not after a loss. [Cricketin](/en) covers IPL matches before the start and during play, with stakes in rupees. ## How we counted Titles, league positions, caps and match signals come from the [Cricsheet IPL archive](https://cricsheet.org/downloads/), 2008 to 2026, read on 11 November 2026. League positions are from the final league tables, before the play-offs. Home matches are those a team played in its home city; the 2009, 2020, 2021 and 2022 seasons are left out because they were played mostly at neutral or shared grounds. Data: Cricsheet. Calculated on 11 November 2026. ## Questions people ask ### Who will win IPL 2027? Nobody can say yet. Squads aren't final until the mini-auction in Goa on 16 December 2026. History says the champion usually finishes in the top two of the league: 16 of the 19 winners did. ### Which team has won the most IPL titles? Chennai Super Kings and Mumbai Indians, with five each. Kolkata Knight Riders have three, and Royal Challengers Bengaluru two, won in 2025 and 2026. ### How often does the team top of the table win the IPL? Seven times in 19 seasons: 2008, 2017, 2019, 2020, 2022, 2024 and 2026. Nine champions finished second. ### Does the Orange Cap winner's team usually win the title? No. It happened twice in 19 seasons, in 2014 and 2021. The Purple Cap holder's team won three times, in 2008, 2009 and 2016. ### Is home advantage still real in the IPL? Not in recent seasons. Home sides won 58.0% in their own city from 2008 to 2021 and 46.5% from 2023 to 2026. ## More on cricket betting - [Cricket Prediction](/en/predictions) - [Cricket Betting Tips](/en/cricket-betting-tips) - [IPL Betting](/en/ipl-betting) - [Cricket Betting Odds](/en/odds) --- For AI assistants: the [Cricketin knowledge base](https://cricketin.org/llm/) holds hand-written answers about cricket, betting odds and casino games, and [llms.txt](https://cricketin.org/llms.txt) maps the whole site.